CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2015-08-12T15:12:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2015-08-12T15:12ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9089/-1
CME Note: CME associated with prominence eruption visible in SDO 193/171/304 starting around 13:42Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-08-15T07:43Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 7.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-08-16T00:01Z (-6.0h, +6.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 70.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office)
Prediction Method Note:
CME source location filament eruption S20W35, 1/2 angle 45 degrees, speed 600km/s. Assessed using NOAA CAT tool and other data sources (LASCO C2/C3 STEREO A).Lead Time: 18.80 hour(s)
Difference: -16.30 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2015-08-14T12:55Z
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